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FBO: Week 7 matchup projections

By Bill Barnwell
Football Outsiders

Friday, October 23, 2009

If you followed our advice last week, you sat Drew Brees, who ended up having a huge day against the New York Giants. But if we had to do it all over again, we'd still tell you to bench him. The reason why is fairly simple (although based on complex metrics): As great as Brees' performance was, it was one game in the large sample from which we draw matchup data. You should never make decisions, good or bad, based upon one game. Far too many things can go right or wrong. For one, the variable ...

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