We're trying to improve Conversations.
Please take a brief survey and help us out.

BP Daily: NL reality check

By Jay Jaffe
Baseball Prospectus

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Yesterday, I took a stab at gauging the significance of the results from the American League's first month of play using two tools to estimate final winning percentages. One is our PECOTA-based Playoff Odds Report, the other a historically based formula derived by Rany Jazayerli, which incorporates a team's record to date as well as its results from the previous three years. As I said, Rany's study suggests that not until the 48th game do a current season's results become more predictive of the ...

Read full story | Create Your Profile

Activate your ESPN Profile!

Sort comments by: Most Recent | First Posted

Comments that include profanity, or personal attacks, or antisocial behavior such as "spamming" or "trolling," or other inappropriate comments or material will be removed from the site. We will take steps to block users who violate any of our terms of use. You are fully responsible for the content that you post.


Conversations in Real-Time

CONTESTS & PROMOTIONS

ESPN Fantasy Salary Cap
Create your own fantasy game day living room and win BIG!
Heisman Vote 2009
Vote for the next Heisman winner and enter for a chance to win a trip to the awards show. Mor
Engineered to Win Challenge
Test your football smarts by playing NFL trivia and enter each week for a chance to win a 2010 GMC Sierra.