We're trying to improve Conversations.
Please take a brief survey and help us out.

Grey Matter: Post-All-Star-break leaders

By Jason Grey
ESPN.com

Saturday, August 16, 2008

"Thou shalt make no effort to ride the hot hand, for the hot hand is but a shape in the wind." -- Commandment No. 8 of Bill James' "10 Commandments of Sabermetrics" There have been rigorous studies that have shown that when you examine the data, even the best hot streaks have little predictive value of what a player is going to do in the future. In other words, just because a player has had two good weeks, it doesn't make him more or less likely to have a third week that is just as hot. But we ...

Read full story | Create Your Profile

Activate your ESPN Profile!

Sort comments by: Most Recent | First Posted

Comments that include profanity, or personal attacks, or antisocial behavior such as "spamming" or "trolling," or other inappropriate comments or material will be removed from the site. We will take steps to block users who violate any of our terms of use. You are fully responsible for the content that you post.


Conversations in Real-Time

CONTESTS & PROMOTIONS

ESPN Fantasy Salary Cap
Create your own fantasy game day living room and win BIG!
Heisman Vote 2009
Vote for the next Heisman winner and enter for a chance to win a trip to the awards show. Mor
Engineered to Win Challenge
Test your football smarts by playing NFL trivia and enter each week for a chance to win a 2010 GMC Sierra.