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Strategy Almanac: Risky Business

By Jason Grey
ESPN.com

Thursday, February 28, 2008

Perhaps you noticed I took a few more risks in a recent 10-team mock draft for our Draft Kit. Why did I do this? I'll sum it up thusly: The amount of risk I am going to take in a draft is directly proportional to the depth of the free-agent pool. That's not a hard concept to grasp, but it has large implications for shallow mixed leagues, especially in the endgame of auctions or the final rounds of drafts. Many owners wind up settling for "safe" bets with their last few picks in a 10- or 12-ow ...

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