Which Big 12 coach is the best in close games?

July 31, 2008 1:25 PM

Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Griffin

An old football theorem has held that the most successful coaches do the best in close games and rarely are on the wrong side of a trip to the woodshed.

Putting that to a test, I examined every college game coached by current Big 12 coaches. I looked both at games that were decided by a touchdown (seven points or less) or by 17 points or more. It provided some eye-opening data.

Games decided by 7 points or less: 
 
 Current job College career
 WLTPct.WLTPct.
Mack Brown, Texas23100.67046361.560
Gene Chizik, Iowa State210.667210.667
Bob Stoops, Oklahoma17110.60717110.607
Ron Prince, Kansas State320.600320.600
Mike Leach, Texas Tech15130.53615130.536
Gary Pinkel, Missouri10100.50029253.535
Mark Mangino, Kansas10110.47610110.476
Mike Gundy, Oklahoma State570.417570.417
Dan Hawkins, Colorado370.30013120.520
Art Briles, Baylor000.0009130.409
Bo Pelini, Nebraska000.000000.000
Mike Sherman, Texas A&M000.000000.000

As expected, the most successful coaches like Oklahoma's Bob Stoops and Texas' Mack Brown were at the top of both lists. But coaching newbies like Kansas State's Ron Prince and Iowa State's Gene Chizik have been successful in close games in their short coaching careers.

I also found that coaching at dominant programs helps in both categories, particularly when compared with coaches' earlier jobs at less successful programs. Mack Brown was 67-8 in big-margin games at Texas and 41-35 when coaching at Tulane, North Carolina and Appalachian State. Brown is 93-11 in 17-point or more games in his last 15 years, but was 15-32 in those blowout games in his first nine years as a college head coach and 5-26 in his first six years.

Stoops won 38 games by 17 points or more before he lost his first game by that margin -- the 2003 Big 12 championship game. Since then he's gone a more modest 20-6 in those blowout games.

And after going 13-7 in his first 20 games settled by a touchdown or less, Stoops has gone 4-4 in those games over the last two seasons.

The quality of a coach's team, in comparison with the rest of the conference, also plays a part in his success in tight games. Dan Hawkins was 10-5 in close games and 38-6 in blowouts while he was leading Boise State. At Colorado, he's 3-7 in games decided by seven points or less and 4-6 in those settled by 17 points or more.

Mark Mangino's turnaround has been noticeable at Kansas. The Jayhawks were 1-8 in Mangino's first season in 2002 in games settled by 17 points or more. They are 21-8 since then, including a 7-0 record. Mangino's teams were 3-7 in tight games in his first three seasons at Kansas. Since then, Kansas is 7-4 in games settled by a touchdown or less, including 3-0 last season.

Here's a look at how the Big 12 coaches stack up in blowout games. 

Games settled by 17 points or more: 
 
 Current job College career
 WLPct.WLPct.
Bob Stoops, Oklahoma596.908596.908
Mack Brown, Texas678.89310843.715
Mike Leach, Texas Tech3715.7123715.712
Gary Pinkel, Missouri3013.6986530.684
Mark Mangino, Kansas2216.5792216.579
Mike Gundy, Oklahoma State99.50099.500
Ron Prince, Kansas State77.50077.500
Dan Hawkins, Colorado46.4004212.778
Gene Chizik, Iowa State04.00004.000
Art Briles, Baylor00.0001511.577
Bo Pelini, Nebraska00.00000.000
Mike Sherman, Texas A&M00.00000.000

Baylor Bears, Art Briles, Colorado Buffaloes, Dan Hawkins, Iowa State Cyclones, Gene Chizik, Kansas Jayhawks, Mark Mangino, Kansas State Wildcats, Ron Prince, Missouri Tigers, Gary Pinkel, Nebraska Cornhuskers, Bo Pelini, Oklahoma Sooners, Bob Stoops, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Mike Gundy, Texas Longhorns, Mack Brown, Texas A&M Aggies, Mike Sherman, Texas Tech Red Raiders, Mike Leach

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