Is playing experience overrated?

July 18, 2008 10:10 AM

Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Griffin

One thing that my readers will learn is that I absolutely love statistics and rankings. And while the nature of football doesn't lend itself to detailed numbers-crunching study like baseball or even basketball, I'll still let you know about something if I think it's intriguing.

That's why I like the chart that football guru Phil Steele came up with where he broke down team experience rankings in his most recent yearbook.

Steele has developed a scale that gives the most benefit to a team with seniors in the starting lineup or the two-deep, and also accounts for juniors, sophomores and freshman players in the roster.

His system gives a team 3 points for every senior starter, 2 1/2 points for a senior in the two deep, 2 points for junior starters, 1 1/2 points for juniors in the two deep, 1 point for a sophomore starter and 1/2 point for a sophomore in the two deep. He then subtracted 1 point for every freshman starter and 1/2 point for every freshman listed in the two deep.

Here are his rankings for Big 12 teams, ranked in terms of the conference and national rankings.

Phil Steele's experience rankings
School/Big 12 RankingPointsNational Ranking
1. Kansas State78 points12th
2. Iowa State73 points23rd
T3. Nebraska 71 points T33rd
T3. Missouri 71 points T33rd
T3.Kansas 71 points T33rd
T6. Oklahoma State 69 points T48th
T6. Baylor 69 points T48th
8. Oklahoma 66 points62nd
9. Texas Tech 64 points 71st
10. Texas A&M 61 points 88th
11. Colorado 51 points 117th
12. Texas 50 points 119th

It's interesting that the most experienced teams in Steele's study were Navy and Army, followed by Memphis, Troy and Hawaii.

The five teams at the bottom are Florida, Texas, Colorado, Boise State and Washington. If I was a gambling man, I'd bet there were more bowl teams among the bottom five at the end of the season than from the top five.  

It leads me to believe that experience is overrated. Kansas State and Iowa State will field more experienced teams, but they still likely will be two of the three worst Big 12 teams this season. And Texas and Colorado's young players might be better than most of their older ones. Look for the Buffaloes to get a huge boost from Darrell Scott at tailback and Texas to also get a shot in the arm from a multitude of strong, young players.

Baylor Bears, Colorado Buffaloes, Iowa State Cyclones, Kansas State Wildcats, Kansas Jayhawks, Missouri Tigers, Nebraska Cornhuskers, Oklahoma Sooners, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Texas Longhorns, Texas A&M Aggies, Texas Tech Red Raiders, Darrell Scott

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